| Constants in above equation |
Pessimistic estimate |
Optimistic estimate |
| n : number of stars in Galaxy |
10^11 |
10^11 |
| fp : fraction of stars with planets |
0.01 |
0.3 |
| fh : fraction of stars with planets ever having habitable conditions on at least one planet |
0.1 |
0.7 |
| ft : fraction of planets on which habitable conditions last long enough for life to evolve |
0.1 |
1 |
| fl : fraction of planets on which life evolves |
0.1 |
1 |
| fc : fraction of planets on which habitable conditions last long enough for intelligence to evolve |
0.001 |
0.9 |
| fi : fraction of planets on which intelligence evolves |
0.1 |
1 |
| fs : fraction of planets on which intelligent life endures |
10^-7 |
0.1 |
| fd : fraction of duration of intelligent life during which it retains an interest in contact with Earth-like civilizations |
0.001 |
1 |
| Fraction of stars with planets that have contactable civilizations |
10^-19 |
0.02 |
| N |
10^-8 |
2 x 10^9 |
| Distance to nearest civilization |
3 x 10^8 light years (not in our galaxy) |
15 light years (right next door) |